Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Nationals: Who's hot, who's not-4/17

Photo by USA Today

By Michael Huberman
CSNwashington.com

After completing a sweep of the Chicago White Sox, the Nationals came back down to earth a bit this weekend as they were swept by the visiting Atlanta Braves. As the Nationals look to take two out of three against the Marlins, here’s a look at five players who were hot, and five players who were not over the past week.

HOT:

Jordan Zimmermann, SP – 2-0/2.81 ERA/16 IP/10 K/1 BB
Jordan Zimmermann picked up the first complete game of his career and second win against the Marlins this year in the Nationals’ 10-3 romp on Monday night. With the win, Zimmermann is now 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over 22 innings on the season. On a staff full of aces, Zimmermann has been the Nationals' best pitcher so far. 

Ross Detwiler, SP – 0-0/1.29 ERA/7 IP/5 K
What a luxury to have Ross Detwiler as your 'No. 5 starter.' Building off his impressive start in Cincinnati, Detwiler pitched like a top-of-the-rotation arm against the Braves, going seven innings and only giving up one run on four hits. However, for the second time in a row, the Nationals’ bullpen failed to hold the lead provided by Detwiler, depriving the lefty of his first win in 2013. 

Ian Desmond, SS – 11-27/5 2B/4 R/1.060 OPS
After struggling to start the season, Desmond has been hot for the Nationals at the plate, going 13-31 since April 9 against the White Sox. With two more doubles Monday, and another last night, Desmond now leads the team and majors with seven on the year.

Denard Span, OF – 8-25/5 R/4 RBI/2 SB
Over his last six games, Span has eight hits, five runs scored, and he’s hit safely in seven of his past eight outings. Known for his patience at the plate, Span has seen an average of 4.08 pitches per plate appearance over his last six games.

Jayson Werth, OF – 9-26/5 R/2 SB/.393 OBP
Though he went only 2-11 against the Braves, Werth has nine hits in his last eight games.  In that time, he’s reached base at a .393 clip and stolen his first two bases of the season. Werth also leads the Nationals with 10 runs scored on the season.

NOT:

Gio Gonzalez, SP – 0-1/12.60 ERA/5 IP/7 ER/7 H
On Sunday’s finale against the Braves, Gonzalez had his worst outing as a member of the Nationals, giving up seven earned runs on seven hits and three walks. After the game, Gio said high pitch counts in multiple innings, his failure to attack the strikes zone, and an ineffective curveball were the main culprits for his poor performance.

Ryan Zimmerman, 3B – 7-26/1 HR/7 RBI/5 K
Zimmerman’s big night at the plate Monday against the Marlins (home run and two-run single) could be a sign of things to come offensively. But right now most Nationals’ fans are likely concerned with the third baseman’s defensive issues. Zimmerman made three errors over the weekend against the Braves, including two key errors in the team’s losses on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. Then last night, Zimmerman made another costly error, this one leading to four unearned runs for the Marlins.

Danny Espinosa, 2B – 3-14/1 HR/3 RBI/.267 OBP
Though he hit his first home run of the season in the Nationals’ 3-1 loss on Saturday, Espinosa entered Sunday’s finale with just three hits in his last fourteen at-bats. Unfortunately, Espinosa left Sunday’s game with a bruised right hand after being hit with a Paul Maholm pitch. X-rays were negative and there’s a chance Espinosa will return Wednesday, though he acknowledges he may not be ready until Friday, when the Nationals face the Mets. 

Dan Haren, SP - 1-1/5.79 ERA/9.1 IP/6 ER/17 H
Despite getting his first win as a member of the Nationals last Thursday against the White Sox, Haren's struggles continue. The latest setback was his 4 1/3 inning outing against the Marlins on Tuesday night, where he gave up seven runs (three earned) and seven hits. Over his last 9 1/3 innings, the righty has given up a staggering 17 hits and he’s yet to reach the sixth inning.

Craig Stammen, RP - 0-1/6.75 ERA/2.2 IP/2 ER/3 H
Stammen hasn't exactly been presented ideal relief situations in his most recent outings, but he has failed to stop the bleeding in two of the Nats' recent losses. He gave up the go-ahead home run to Ramiro Pena of the Braves on April 12 and served up an RBI double to Justin Ruggiano of the Marlins on April 17. The latter runs were not earned as Haren handed him the bases loaded, but Stammen could really use a crisp outing and soon.

39 comments:

IPLawguy said...

Gio's comment on failure to attack the strike zone would seem to apply to Clippard and Storen as well. And maybe even Strasburg in the first few innings of his last start.

Sec314

#4 said...

Mick,

Thanks for the hello. Buddy is doing OK. We've moved him to a new place, and he loves visitors. If there's a way for me to contact you off-line, I can share the info with you if you'd like to visit him.

The other issue with Zim that can't be discounted is that when one of the pillars of your franchise has an issue like this, it's multiples its impact. I feel like you can see a team-wide deflation when he throws one away because of his stature and the nature of his issues. It's no coincidence that meltdowns have followed each of his errors.

peric said...

Mick the stick?

Muddy said...

Humm, I'd say Storen is pretty dern cold as well; that last blown safe vs. the Braves Friday night was the start of something really bad for the Nats, even evoking shades of NLDS game 5. And I'd add Lombardosi to the hot list, even tho' limited sample size. The young man's is sluggin'.

mick said...

I appreciate that #4, but I have a good contact at St Alban's that keeps me updated

Holden Baroque said...

Somebody already pointed this out, but it bears repeating, IMO: they've played 14 games. If this were the NFL, they'd be at the two-minute warning of the 1st half of game two down by 10, with the ball on their own 20, after having won game one.

Hyperventilate if it makes you happy, but excuse me if I don't join you for about four months.

A DC Wonk said...

Sofa -- good one! I'll take your word for it on the details, but the main gist of what you're saying is entirely correct.

And, in any event: a team is never as good as it seems during winning streaks, nor as bad as it seems during losing streaks.

What's cool, and what I never forget, and what I hope I will never forget -- is that we even have a home team to root for, and, even better: we have a darn good team to root for.

peric said...

If they aren't "going to the world series" with this lineup then they need to start thinking about player development ... again ... and they do really need to get both Lombo AND the Magnolia Muscle T-Mo into the lineup regularly.

Of course its way to early for that but hey the team with one loss is using a guy named Gattis whose main claim to fame before this season came from winter ball in Venezuela where he was known as Oso Blanco.

The Nats have real talent both on the bench and down on the farm. I don't think its a good thing to hold them back with semi-ancient ball players like LaRoche, Werth, and Haren. Werth, even after another fractured wrist, appears to still be very viable but he certainly **IS NOT** a #5 hitter in a playoff roster's lineup. His skills are best suited to lead-off second or batting 7th or 8th. Making him way overpaid for his baseball skills ... there are the "invisible" intangibles he brings like making Bryce Harper his Padiwan ... and those can still be of value from out of the #4 outfielder's slot.

They've got three contracts for players who do not seem to be worth the contract terms; Zimmerman, LaRoche, and Werth. Zimmerman can be a viable offensive threat when back to complete health which again is why a move to first base seems almost a necessity. Werth continues to eat right and work out to keep himself in shape but he's not a #5 hitter and he never will fit into that slot again. This is ostensibly a PLAYOFF roster, ostensibly a world series possibility. Players who wait until July to start hitting JUST AREN'T GOING TO FIT.

Shades of Muddy Ruel ... if they want to be like the 1924 Senators they are going to have to start playing like it because the Braves organization has apparently decided that they should be the Kings of the NL East as one of the best run organizations for more than a decade. And with the retirement of Chipper they found themselves with a lot more flexibility on the major league roster. And now they seem to have found a spot-on just -in-time replacement for McCann. All they need is more starting pitching which they might just be able to purloin from teams dropping out of contention that decide they want to rebuild using high draft picks like the Nats. (See FLA Marlins). Might we see Ricky Nolasco in a Brave's uni soon?

The Braves have thrown down the gauntlet and they are backing it up with actions not just words. The Nats would be wise to follow suit.

peric said...

Rendon walked once (which means he got on base and his OBP continues ot hold its stock value) and did not strike out.

Rendon is only going to get better whether Skole or Bloxom follows him. Bloxom is a very hard worker believe me having Bloxom the platoon bat behind him is not a bad thing. Bloxom's problem is he is not the great athlete he must work very hard for every single tiny advance he makes. He's not a Souza or or Hood.

#4 said...

That's great, Mick. I'm sure in our real lives we must know each other then.

Holden Baroque said...

Wonk, thanks. I was just riffing intuitively on the analogy, as I am sure you know.

The Braves are certainly for real; I imagine they still think of it as their division, the way Lou Brock thought of second as his base. They probably think that if they had just been healthy, the Phillies would have finished in second place all five times. But 148 games is a lot of rope to give Fredi, too.

peric said...

The Braves just need one more starter ... and for Julio Tehran to start pitching like a top prospect and they will be very hard to beat and extremely hard to catch up to.

peric said...

ESPN has picked up #Nats #Braves game on April 29 for a full national telecast.

Crap I hate it when my mobile mlbatbat app gets blacked out.

A DC Wonk said...

Werth, even after another fractured wrist, appears to still be very viable but he certainly **IS NOT** a #5 hitter in a playoff roster's lineup.

I think he's a good #2 hitter.

Look, he and Ian _do_ have more hits than anyone else on the team . . . . this isn't where I'd be looking right now for improvement. What's the team ERA of the bullpen? I'm sure it's absolutely awful.

peric said...

What's the team ERA of the bullpen? I'm sure it's absolutely awful.

They have plenty of young talent in the bullpen. There are players who can be optioned to AAA to work on their issues if problems continue. They can always give up and release Henry if he fails to progress. They've got some decent arms in AAA from the looks of things so far. Soriano has done okay so far. Only Clippard really concerns me and did last season as well. He's thrown to many innings for a reliever. He actually was one of he team leaders in wins one season because of this.

The bullpen doesn't project to be as much of a problem. They will improve.

By June Zim should be back to normal. Hopefully LaRoche will start hitting before then ... if not then moves should be made. Werth projects to be a 4th outfielder in 2 years. They must get the young players into the lineup.

Tcostant said...

THat was Zimmermann's second complete game. While he only pitched 8 innings in a loss (1-0 I think), it is still an official complete game as no other pitcher pitch. Nine innings is not the critria for complete games, it is being the only pitcher to pitch the game for a team (a guy can go 9 innings and his team wins in 10 an would not get credit for the complete game).

Tcostant said...

peric said...
ESPN has picked up #Nats #Braves game on April 29 for a full national telecast.

Crap I hate it when my mobile mlbatbat app gets blacked out.
-------------------
I assume that is Sunday April 28th?

Ghost Of Steve M. said...

Still no panic button to be sounded. Span, Werth, Desmond are all red hot. Davey has to play his hot hands. He thinks LaRoche will get going with more reps. Lombo is doing well. Bryce is in a 3 game slump and could hit 3 taters today!

The star pitchers must do their jobs too. 4 runs should be enough to win most of these games if the bullpen can do their jobs. Haren gave up only 3 earned runs yesterday and that should've been enough to win on most days.

Ghost Of Steve M. said...

Tcostant said...
THat was Zimmermann's second complete game. While he only pitched 8 innings in a loss (1-0 I think),


You think right. You know who JZim lost to? Dan Haren.

You know how the Angels scored their 1 run? On a fielding error.

It was a classic battle of aces.

JaneB said...

I'm sad and surprised that Gio and Zimmie aren't on the hot list. But it's early.

natsfan1a said...

I think ESPN does Monday night baseball, too.

Tcostant said...

ESPN has picked up #Nats #Braves game on April 29 for a full national telecast.

Crap I hate it when my mobile mlbatbat app gets blacked out.
-------------------
I assume that is Sunday April 28th?
April 17, 2013 2:12 PM
Ghost Of Steve M. said...

Ghost Of Steve M. said...

Doc said...
Correctomundo, GhostMeister!

Velo is #4 on the pitchometer, and Location is #1.


Location, location, location with a good moving truck and a good road mad and darn fast.

Real estate is a lot like pitching:
1) Location
2) Movement on the pitches
3) Strategy & scouting & deception
4) Velocity


and of course luck!

Ghost Of Steve M. said...

JD, I'm all for giving Dan Haren a few more starts and said as much but I do think John Lannan even on his poor fielding team in a hitter's home ballpark will out-pitch Haren.

I just hope Haren can get under a 3.99 ERA at some point.

JD said...

Ghost,

'Haren gave up only 3 earned runs yesterday and that should've been enough to win on most days.'

And this is why ERA is such an unreliable stat. because Zim making the error does not excuse Haren from giving up a bomb to Hetcheveria; earned or unearned.

JD said...

'but I do think John Lannan even on his poor fielding team in a hitter's home ballpark will out-pitch Haren.'

If that happens the Haren is shot because otherwise Lannan can't hold a candle to him.

Holden Baroque said...

Well, the Giants signed Barry Zito to a seriously regrettable contract, much worse than Haren's here, and all they have is two rings.

Mistakes. Everybody makes them.

Eric said...

Braves 1 strike from a loss...c'mon Greg Holland!!!

Holden Baroque said...

Which is not to say Haren can't recover this. We'll see.

Eric said...

YES! BRAVES LOSE!

A DC Wonk said...

BigCat said...

Braves are 12-1 with BJ Upton hitting .152, Uggla at .178 and Heyward at.116. Whats gonna happen when they start hitting?


Well, it didn't happen today! Upton/Uggla/Heyward went 1-for-12.

EmDash said...

Our long national nightmare is over. *g*

Eric said...

"Well, it didn't happen today! Upton/Uggla/Heyward went 1-for-12."

Add JUp and Gattis and it's 2 for 18.

Eric said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ghost Of Steve M. said...

Huh, Gattis was 0-4 again. Where were those who talked about not having sufficient Advanced Scouting?

Ghost Of Steve M. said...

That's 0-8 for Gattis since the Nats series.

natsfan1a said...

Well played, sir.

Sec. 3, My Untucked Sofa said...

Well, the Giants signed Barry Zito to a seriously regrettable contract, much worse than Haren's here, and all they have is two rings.

Mistakes. Everybody makes them.
April 17, 2013 2:38 PM

EmDash said...

I think we happened to be part of the fine-tuning process for Gattis scouting, unfortunately. Detwiler got him out by throwing fastballs around his eyes that he couldn't lay off of - I have to imagine that game plan was due to scouting - and then the next day he adjusted and managed to hit a home run off of Strasburg in a very similar location.

EmDash said...

As a reminder of how strange the early season records can be: the second-best record in the National League belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

Faraz Shaikh said...

Someone mentioned the losses being blowout and not close games as a reason for waning confidence, right? That seems to make more and more sense to me.

on the other hand, overall run differential for Braves is 3.2 (5.2 RS and 2.0 RA). Highest in past five seasons for the best team was 1.3 with mainly 1.0 or below as average. Even 1927 Yankees were 2.4 and let's face it Braves are no 1927 Yankees.

Like I have said before, if Nationals take care of their business like they are capable, they will win the division over Braves and everyone else.

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