Wednesday, August 8, 2012

All they do is win


Getty Images
Roger Bernadina's spectacular catch sealed the Nationals' win last night.
Their closer has blown three saves and put at least two men on base in eight of his last 13 appearances. Their rookie phenom is mired in the first prolonged slump of his life, one that has lasted nearly two months. Their catchers have thrown out exactly one of the last 43 opponents who have tried to steal a base against them.

Their All-Star shortstop is out until September. Their highest-paid player just returned from a three-month stint on the disabled list and already had to miss a game because his legs were tired. And their staff ace is going to be shut down for the remainder of the season in about a month.

Oh, did we mention the Nationals have baseball's best record and are now on pace to win 99 games in 2012?

If you prevented yourself from checking the standings over the past few weeks, you might very well have come away convinced the Nationals are in trouble. They haven't exactly played like the best team in the majors.

But this might be the true confirmation of Washington's new-found status as a baseball powerhouse. Even when they're not playing their best, they're still winning more regularly than any other club in the sport.

Why? Because they're loaded with superior talent, up and down the roster.

The rotation isn't just Stephen Strasburg and four guys who take up space. Jordan Zimmermann has the NL's second-best ERA. Gio Gonzalez has the fourth-most strikeouts. Edwin Jackson has completed seven or more innings seven times. And Ross Detwiler, with another strong performance last night, now boasts a 2.99 ERA (ninth-best in the NL).

The lineup is as deep with potent bats as just about any other in the NL. Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Morse, Adam LaRoche, Jayson Werth ... what team wouldn't take that quintet, or sextet once Ian Desmond returns from his oblique tear? And even when those stalwarts struggle to produce on a given night, Davey Johnson merely turns to someone else for clutch hits, whether it's Danny Espinosa (who drove in all three runs last night), Chad Tracy or Roger Bernadina.

And there are few slicker-fielding clubs than this one, from Zimmerman's Gold Glove at third base to LaRoche's steadying influence at first base to Bernadina's game-saving ability in center field. (And if you saw his jaw-dropping conclusion to last night's victory in Houston, you know just how important Bernadina has become to this team.)

Point is, the Nationals aren't winning games because of the contributions of one or two big names. They're winning games because night in and night out, they manage to get contributions from just about everybody on the roster.

And through the season's first four months, they continue to get better.

At the one-quarter pole, the Nationals were on pace to win 93 games. At the one-third pole, the pace went up to 96 wins. At the halfway mark, they were holding steady at a 96-win pace. And now that they've just surpassed the two-thirds mark, they've upped the rate to 99 wins.

That's a pretty good sign. While other clubs endure through roller-coaster seasons, riding long winning streaks one week and then falling into the abyss the next, the Nationals have been remarkably consistent.

There have been only three 10-game stretches this season in which the Nationals lost more games than they won: April 19-May 1 (4-6), June 15-25 (3-7) and July 8-21 (4-6). That's it. Those don't even qualify as troublesome losing streaks.

That most recent downturn ended after the first game of the July 21 doubleheader against the Braves. At that moment, the Nationals had seen their lead over Atlanta dwindle to 1 1/2 games. Then John Lannan was called up from Class AAA to make a spot start and pitched a gem, and ever since then the Nats are 14-4.

Are there some things to be concerned about with this team? Sure. They're by no means perfect, and some questions have been raised in recent days.

But there's simply too much talent on that roster to let the little hiccups cascade into major headaches.

This just in: The Nationals are the best team in baseball at this moment. And there's nothing fluky about it.

220 comments:

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sjm308 said...

Again, I have not seen one "expert" talk about this shutdown from a positive aspect. It's like JZimmnn, Gio and now Detwiler don't exist. I seriously think Detwiler has moved ahead of EJax. That is no knock on Jackson, I just think our starters are outstanding and I think we will line up well as we head into Sept/Oct/Nov

Go Nats!!

Sunshine_Bobby_Carpenter_Is_Too_Pessimistic_For_Me said...

Re: ESPN article on Braves.

In a word, rubbish. I won't go into the merits -- it can be summed up in one sentence: the Nats are a better team than Atlanta. Emphasis on team. Mark's article sums that up beautifully.

But what is going to wear on the Braves is this: they have been relatively hot. They recently went 8-2 and gained ... oh, yes, exactly NO GROUND. In fact, they slipped a game back of the Nats. That will grind a team down over time. Like, "What do we have to do to gain some ground on this bunch?"

The other thing that is going to set in is complacency. Thanks to Buddy Ball's watering down of the playoffs, they actually have two shots at making the postseason WITHOUT winning the division. They know this. At some point, they are going to be thinking (subconsciously or otherwise), "Hey, let's just concentrate on the wild card. We're not going to catch these guys."

My two cents.

natsfan1a said...

One can vote a bunch of times by clearing browser memory in between, fwiw. ;-)

sjm308 said...

One man's hooey is anothers rubbish!

1a - whats a browser memory?, remember, I can't even post a link. I am lucky to be able to switch from one site to another

JD said...

The Braves rotation is:

Hudson,Sheets,Minor,Medlen and Maholm

Ours is:

Strasburg,JZimm,Gio,Jackson and Detwiler.

That's why we are 4 games ahead and that's why we are 8 - 4 against them head to head. Their lineup is very deep and they will beat up on weaker teams but I like our pitchers over theirs by a wide margin.

blovy8 said...

Wait a week, and if the Braves lose two in a row, everyone will be talking about last September.

NatsLady said...

EJax was on the radio today and defended the rotation sans Strasburg. He seemed to imply it's 180 innings or "something." Also said he would like to come back, but if not, he's having a great time this season.

Strasburg needs to pull a hammy right about September 10 and shut all these people up.

natsfan1a said...

sjm, where you'd find it depends on your browser, but there should be a "clear history" option somewhere. Maybe on the "tools" menu or under a "privacy" option.

Last time I looked, the vote was at 50-50. I'm trying to work it on my 'puter, but I may end up day-to-day with repetitive stress injury. :-)

NatsLady said...

blovy8--LOL!

natsfan1a said...

sjm, there are instructions for different browsers here.

Section 222 said...

The state by state map seems ahead of the main page in counting the votes. 53-47 with 2,512 votes in.

hiramhover said...

Or just use the "incognito" or "private browsing" mode (chrome and firefox, respectively) which has the same effect.

natsfan1a said...

Thanks, 222. Given Roger's lead as shown there, I'll let up on voting in hopes of avoiding the D.L. (Don't want to be shut down early down the stretch, ya know. ;-))

sjm308 said...

ok - back to voting - thanks to all

MicheleS said...

You can do the multiple voting in Firefox. You clear your browser history on that site. Haven't figured out on Explorer.

natsfan1a said...

May the force be with you, sjm. :-)

natsfan1a said...

All right, 'fess up now, who are you people that voted for Trout in DC/MD/VA? grrr... :-)

Sunshine_Bobby_Carpenter_Is_Too_Pessimistic_For_Me said...

MicheleS said...

You can do the multiple voting in Firefox.

You can tell she's from Chicago!

Faraz Shaikh said...

1a, that's what I am doing. Vote, clear history, and vote again. Cycle keeps going on.

natsfan1a said...

Atta way, Faraz. Hey, where's our man in Idaho? No votes from that state. :-)

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