Thursday, April 26, 2012

A rare chance to breathe easy

Associated Press photo
Adam LaRoche went 3-for-4 in last night's 7-2 victory in San Diego.
You'll have to forgive just about everyone who was inside the Nationals dugout late during last night's game showing off their pearly whites. They certainly haven't had many opportunities this season to smile wide while games were still underway.

Of their 13 previous victories, six had come by just one run, two had come by two runs, three had come by three runs and two had come by four runs.

Thus, a 7-2 dismantling of the Padres was welcome relief for a Nationals club that to date had experienced nothing but tense baseball through the season's first three weeks.

They needed this one, they really did. That may sound strange when you consider this is a 14-4 ballclub we're talking about, owners of the NL's best record. But all those tense, low-scoring, down-to-the-wire wins take their toll, both physically and mentally.

Just about every at-bat taken and every pitch thrown by a member of the Nationals this season has come in high-leverage situations. Sure, it's great practice for a young team that aspires to play in the highest of leverage games this fall. But you need a laugher every once in a while to break things up and give yourself a chance to breathe easy.

So Davey Johnson could thank Jordan Zimmermann (six innings of one-run ball), Adam LaRoche (3-for-4, RBI), Wilson Ramos (2-for-5, two RBI) and Tom Gorzelanny (the rare, three-inning save) for giving his blood pressure a much-needed night off.

And thus, a season that has already included some remarkable feats from a club that isn't used to accomplishing such things, added a couple new items to the checklist.

-- The Nationals have now played six series, and they've won all six.

-- Until Zimmermann surrendered a solo homer to Orlando Hudson in the fifth, the starting rotation had completed 26 consecutive scoreless innings (a new Nationals record).

-- At 14-4, they've now matched the best 18-game start to any season in Washington baseball history. The only other club in 79 years of D.C. baseball to open 14-4? The 1932 Senators, who wound up 93-61 (14 games behind the Yankees in the AL).

(For the record, that 1932 team lost its 19th game. Thus a victory in tonight's series finale at Petco Park would ensure the first-ever 15-4 record in the long -- and mostly sad -- annals of Washington baseball.)

Yes, we're entering uncharted waters here, folks. The Nationals are 10 games over .500 for the first time since July 26, 2005, and there doesn't appear to be any end in sight.

Strange times indeed. And, at least for one night, reason to sit back and smile for a change.

212 comments:

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Anonymous said...

DC Wonk-Who said 25 extra innings increases his chance for injury??? I have not heard that from anybody in the medical profession. If that can be proved, then fine, shut him down. Simply having a gut feeling he will get injured if he goes beyond some innings limit is beyond subjective and not a good enough reason to jeopardize a chance for a championship, if indeed that is looking possible come September. I would hardly call that immaturity. Saying I want to run him out there for 230 IP would be immaturity, not 185!!!

ExposedinDC said...

Any Ryan Z updates ? Sorry if it has been discussed , to lazy to scroll thru the comments

UnkyD said...

F&I: put me down for 165.... All I wasn't out of it is:

"Gee, I guess I sounded like quite an idiot, back on April 26th...hyuh hyuh...)

Anonymous said...

"This is totally a side point, probably not worth mentioning. But if all Detwiler's runs were earned, his ERA would be 2.81 -- not 5.XX, and certainly not "toast." Worse than it is now, yes, but still darn good."

My bad. I read Detwiler's stat line on baseball-reference.com wrong. Pulled a 5 out of the Runs column and thought it was the Earned Runs column. I think my method on the calculation was right, though, which in my 8th grade Algebra I class would have qualified me for partial credit.

MicheleS said...

ExposedinDC.. no updates yet, I think those will come out closer to game time when Ryan has to take some BP to see if he can hit.

JD said...

Fear,

You are right that the number is arbitrary but there is a mountain of evidence that suggests that overusing a young pitcher increases the likelihood of a short career. Since there is no hard evidence of what the real number is (its different for different pitchers) it's prudent to establish an arbitrary number (20% over the previous high and 160 sounds pretty good to me) and stick with it.

ExposedinDC said...

MicheleS...Thanks. Keeping my fingers crossed that the face of our franchise is back in the lineup soon.

Sunderland said...

Prior to his surgery, the most Jordan Zimmermann had ever pitched was 134 innings. Post surgery, they let him go about 161+. This was a 20% increase.
The most Strasburg has ever thrown prior to surgery was 123 innings.
You figure it out.

sm13 said...

Just saw the Marlins-Mets highights. The Marlins are playing sloppy, lazy-looking baseball. I'm not sure that the whole Ozzie thing is working.

NatsLady said...

Saw a funny line on Twitter re: the original topic of this post.

"Glad Nats had blowout tonight and left me enough fingernails for Caps overtime."

Section 222 said...

Since there are several hours to kill before the game, I'm reposting this, on the assumption that comment 198 out of the first 200 comments will never be read. Time to play GM with our over abundance of great starters:

The question remains, what do you do with Detwiler when Wang returns, assuming all the other starters stay healthy, and who do you send down to make room for Wang on the 25 man? Rizzo hasn't said anything about it and I'm interested in what some of the folks here think the answer should be, especially those who are so quick to answer questions by simply quoting what Rizzo or Davey have said or suggested.

Here's my suggestion, which is not a prediction since I have no idea what they will do, and besides, an injury might upend everything -- (1) Send Mattheus down. Stammen has really shown outstanding stuff and has versatility to pitch more than one inning, which is a good thing to have. (2) Put Detwiler in the pen, but try to keep him stretched out, fresh, and motivated by finding a spot start for him every 10 days or so -- maybe in place of someone who's showing signs of wear or has a nagging injury that doesn't require a DL stint, or give everyone an extra day's rest during a long stretch of consecutive games. I guess you could call that a 5.5 man rotation but the point is to give Detwiler some regular starting work as well as LOOGY and one inning work when needed.

Section 222 said...

lesatcsc said...

[In 2011] No team in MLB had 5 SPs with 30 or more starts. (Tex came closest with 4 at 30 + and 1 at 29)
2 Teams had 4 SPs with 30 + (Det was the other, their 5th starter had 19)
8 teams had 3 SPs with 30 + starts. The rest had 2 or 1 (Nats for eg)

So, in no case did a team start 5 guys 30 times each , and only 1/3 of teams managed to get 30 + starts out of as many as 3 SPs....

Take what you will from this. While I think you're right, having 5 guys that can all start 30+ games is ideal, in practice not one of the thirty teams managed it. When I looked at most teams there was a significant drop off in starts between the 3rd SP and the 4th SP and a huge drop between 3rd and 5th.

December 21, 2011 6:56 pm


Something to keep in mind when thinking about trading away a starting pitcher...

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