tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post4691862070287993547..comments2024-02-15T05:42:18.307-05:00Comments on Nats Insider: Quantifying the Nats' improvementMark Zuckermanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13525315258889435961noreply@blogger.comBlogger82125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-48921663797816403252011-12-23T22:28:13.881-05:002011-12-23T22:28:13.881-05:00NatsLady, the way the rule is written, since the l...NatsLady, the way the rule is written, since the league plays a 162 game schedule, then 162 innings is the minimum.Sunderlandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05251102255354124971noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-54344804096380963772011-12-23T20:00:38.114-05:002011-12-23T20:00:38.114-05:00If EVER there was a stupid body change in baseball...<b>If EVER there was a stupid body change in baseball that was drug induced it was the 6'10" guy adding 50 pounds at age 32.</b><br /><br />You want to step over here by this pile of snowballs and say that?R. Johnsonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-44186012009090589042011-12-23T19:44:29.412-05:002011-12-23T19:44:29.412-05:00I can also personally vouch for the fact that meta...I can also personally vouch for the fact that metabolism changes happen.<br /><br />Anonymous said...<br /><br /> If EVER there was a stupid body change in baseball that was drug induced it was the 6'10" guy adding 50 pounds at age 32.<br /><br /> Dunno about that. I know lots of guys who start packing on the pounds at that age. Hell, I was one of them. Didn't change a thing, either. Kept eating like I always had, kept working out just as much. It happens.<br /> December 23, 2011 7:24 PMnatsfan1anoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-37110096627751039742011-12-23T19:27:50.777-05:002011-12-23T19:27:50.777-05:00He might not have qualified for the ERA title - in...He might not have qualified for the ERA title - in 2011 - but he was pretty darn good in his first season fully back from tommy john. His era has to be low with the run support he gets ( doesn't get is more like it). Maybe next year he won't have to pitch most of his innings under so much stress. JZ is a great asset to our team, qualify, shmalify or not.gonatsgonoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-21258619671998109202011-12-23T19:24:08.183-05:002011-12-23T19:24:08.183-05:00If EVER there was a stupid body change in baseball...<i>If EVER there was a stupid body change in baseball that was drug induced it was the 6'10" guy adding 50 pounds at age 32.</i><br /><br />Dunno about that. I know <i>lots</i> of guys who start packing on the pounds at that age. Hell, I was one of them. Didn't change a thing, either. Kept eating like I always had, kept working out just as much. It happens.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-5908325284966806462011-12-23T19:20:27.572-05:002011-12-23T19:20:27.572-05:00The reason I say that is the wording at the time w...<i>The reason I say that is the wording at the time was the game was rained out and "will not be re-scheduled."</i><br /><br />It can't be <i>re</i>-scheduled unless it was a scheduled game in the first place.<br /><br />Get over it, guys. Here's another reason Zimmermann didn't qualify for the ERA title: his ERA wasn't low enough.Feel Woodnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-51117448575118932322011-12-23T18:27:33.951-05:002011-12-23T18:27:33.951-05:00The reason I say that is the wording at the time w...The reason I say that is the wording at the time was the game was rained out and "will not be re-scheduled."NatsLadyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06814911056080758503noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-56665792203965886302011-12-23T18:24:39.336-05:002011-12-23T18:24:39.336-05:00Does Davey Johnson get a WAR rating? Organizing th...<i>Does Davey Johnson get a WAR rating? Organizing the bench to emphasize offense, being a player's coach, and his experience and drive must count for something.</i><br /><br />Gets reflected in the players' WAR where it belongs.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-56948634402634437802011-12-23T18:23:32.851-05:002011-12-23T18:23:32.851-05:00Once Randy started taking steroids, he really figu...Once Randy started taking steroids, he really figured out his game. Go figure. If EVER there was a stupid body change in baseball that was drug induced it was the 6'10" guy adding 50 pounds at age 32.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-39215801292907411132011-12-23T18:22:28.446-05:002011-12-23T18:22:28.446-05:00The Nats can only sign a centerfielder or a first ...The Nats can only sign a centerfielder or a first baseman, otherwise Harper is blocked. I just couldnt justify signing Fielder for more than 4 seasons, he be a DH in 2. So I say take a chance on Cepedes, he is younger, cheaper, therefore less risky but with a higher upside. Also Morse is a really bad left fielder but a pretty decent first baseman and with less wear and tear on your body he could be a productive 1b for 5 or 6 seasons.<br /><br />By the end of the season:<br /><br />Cepedes<br />Harper<br />Zimm<br />Morse<br />Werth<br />Espinosa<br />Desmond<br />RamosWily Mo Petersennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-38352054265644979732011-12-23T18:20:37.031-05:002011-12-23T18:20:37.031-05:00Just so Mark and eveyone else has a chance to poss...Just so Mark and eveyone else has a chance to possibly (for some perhaps unlikely) what the Nats FO might see in Gio Gonzalez a left-handed power starter:<br /><br />He started with this franchise in Montreal who is this pitcher?<br /><br />At age 25: 96 walks<br />At age 26: 120 walks<br />At age 27: 152 walks<br />At age 28: 144 walks<br />At age 29: 99 walks<br /><br />GIve up?<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />Its lefty Randy Johnson the Big Unit.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-64604438017621023692011-12-23T18:14:15.407-05:002011-12-23T18:14:15.407-05:00So, the question would be, was the Dodger game &qu...So, the question would be, was the Dodger game "scheduled"? My understanding is that by agreement of the teams and MLB, that was not a scheduled game.NatsLadyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06814911056080758503noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-19136331489105622502011-12-23T18:13:08.253-05:002011-12-23T18:13:08.253-05:00WAR SCHMAR, its numerology. Players do not contri...WAR SCHMAR, its numerology. Players do not contribute wins, they make or don't make plays. They get lucky or unlucky too. The official scorers award doubles and errors when maybe they shouldn't. The umpires make bad calls. The stat heads figuring UZR miss what zone the ball was hit and how hard. Players are in better or worse lineups with guys who may or may not be nursing injury, the weather is crazy, guys face completely different sets of opponents and in different game isutations and form differnt lineup spots, and what have you. That runners stumble and get thrown out when they shoudld have been safe, etc. The game is so very random. The idea that you can boil a guy's contribution down into ONE stat is just not realisitic. <br /><br />dfh21Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-47663568050808403502011-12-23T18:09:34.666-05:002011-12-23T18:09:34.666-05:00Does Davey Johnson get a WAR rating? Organizing t...Does Davey Johnson get a WAR rating? Organizing the bench to emphasize offense, being a player's coach, and his experience and drive must count for something.sdingledinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16908958047073615115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-42988765248374592802011-12-23T17:45:12.916-05:002011-12-23T17:45:12.916-05:00Listen if they sign Fielder they don't need a ...Listen if they sign Fielder they don't need a lead-off. Just bat 2 through 9. Desmond can just take a time-out...UNTERPnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-47267275033295565462011-12-23T17:44:46.754-05:002011-12-23T17:44:46.754-05:00WAR, while a very telling stat isn't perfect. ...WAR, while a very telling stat isn't perfect. That said if we look at the team WAR over the past several years the Nats haven't once been among the majors top 10 in WAR be it hitting or pitching. In fact, the last time the franchise (yes, we have to go back that far) was in the top 10 in WAR offensively, was 1994, when they were 5th in the majors. The Nats haven't had top 10 WAR on the pitching side since the 90s, including 1994.<br /><br />Looking back at all the WAR numbers over the years, teams among the top 10 in WAR, either offensively or pitching have had the greatest chance of making the post-season. Those times when teams weren't in the top 10, be it in pitching or offense, they had a dominant WAR in other category, and very often in the top 3. So that lends itself well to the argument that WAR is a very telling stat.<br /><br />Thing is, even if Zimm, Werth, LaRoche all have good years, and the other players stay the same or improve, the Nats will still be stuck in the middle of the pack in WAR, at least if the team stays as is with the offensive players they currently have. With the pitching they should have in 2012, I expect they will be somewhere between that magic top 10 elite group and the middle of the pack. That means, that unless suddenly dominate offensively, and at least get into the top 5 in WAR, the odds of them making a playoff spot is greatly lessened.<br /><br />That screams that the Nats need another solid bat in their lineup, be it a quality leadoff hitter, or a big middle of the order bat, because without either one, the Nats will be at best, in the middle of pack in WAR. Translation: no playoff spot in 2012.<br /><br />The Rotation looks to be strong, the bullpen as good as almost any in baseball, so pitching is more than fine. Offensively, there's still a need, and unless one of those needs is met, I hold little hope of the Nats playing in the post-season. They may come close, but in the end, they'll miss out.<br /><br />Rizzo needs to do one of two things (besides strengthening the bench, which will likely get done regardless) and they are: Sign or acquire a big middle of the order bat.....or find that (seeming elusive) top of the order hitter they still so desperately need.<br /><br />If Rizzo isn't able to pull off either of those, even though we'll enjoy 2012 more than we did 2011 and see the Nats play over .500 for the first time, in the end, Nats fans will once again be saying, "Next year". Rizzo had and still has the opportunity to lift the Nats into a contending team, the question is, "Is he able, and are the Lerners willing to go along?" I suspect that while the answer for Rizzo might be, yes, the same can’t be said of the Lerners.Kenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11021420959564812072noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-47450664119594644892011-12-23T17:26:11.395-05:002011-12-23T17:26:11.395-05:00Off topic, but of general interest.
There was disc...Off topic, but of general interest.<br />There was discussion the other day about whether Jordan Zimmermann qualified for the ERA title. He only pitched 161.1 innings, and normally 1 inning per game, or 162 innings is needed to qualify.<br />However, the Nats only played 161 games in 2011, not making up a late season rain out with the Dodgers.<br />MLB rules of official scoring are pretty clear that the qualification of 1 inning per game is per scheduled game, not played game.<br />So the minimum requirement is 162 innings, and Jordan Zimmermann did not qualify.<br /><br />http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/official_info/official_rules/official_scorer_10.jsp<br />Scroll down to 10.22bSunderlandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05251102255354124971noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-4584637719651587702011-12-23T17:17:30.263-05:002011-12-23T17:17:30.263-05:00Sec 3, Jordan Zimmermann can commisurate and so ca...Sec 3, Jordan Zimmermann can commisurate and so can a few others on the offense (lack of).<br /><br />Jordan Zimmermann was let down by the weather too (sun in Bernadina's eyes) and let down from the umpires who blew some calls Reed Johnson in Chicago and Burroughs in Washington.<br /><br />The better teams get more respect. I have seen that with the Yankees and the Cardinals especially since I see a lot of their games. The net effect of getting a Prince Fielder will help the team immensely. Some blow out wins would be nice. I really want to see how Stras and Jordan Z. pitch with big leads.<br /><br />Nothing was more frustrating then the time Livan had that huge lead just to blow it (I think it was the Cubs). The Nats relievers would look much better in the fan's eyes if they had large leads. They harshly got tagged w/ the most blown save moniker because yes, holding 1 run leads in the 7th inning is tough to hang on to!<br /><br />Bottomline: 5 year deal with Prince Fielder at stupid silly money and his entire salary will be paid with the post-season money and the daily sell-outs!Anonymous8noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-88412003523003484632011-12-23T17:16:54.214-05:002011-12-23T17:16:54.214-05:00Matthew J - I posted that question on Fangraphs an...Matthew J - I posted that question on Fangraphs and they said a team with a combined WAR of zero would project to 42 wins so That agrees with Mark.Agarhttp://natsinsider.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-81191035743816692492011-12-23T17:10:35.010-05:002011-12-23T17:10:35.010-05:00Not to toot my own horn but I did this about a wee...Not to toot my own horn but I did this about a week ago, before Gio trade. I had them improving 12 wins before Gio. I actually think Gio adds more wins than Mark says because I think Strasburg takes Livo's innings. I said Wang would take Marquis' innings now I think Giomtakes those and Wang takes Gorzellany's. <br /><br />I posted my analysis on Federal Baseball if you want to see the whole thing/verify I'm not making it up. I couldn't post a link but the name of the post is "2012 WAR Projection - 90 Wins???".Avarhttp://natsinsider.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-47694278773299001542011-12-23T17:10:16.573-05:002011-12-23T17:10:16.573-05:00While I had some doubts even after the Pujols and ...While I had some doubts even after the Pujols and Wilson signings, now I know for sure that the Angels are serious about making a serious run in 2012...<br /><br />****************************************************************<br />Angels have signed outfielder Ryan Langerhans... (from MLBTR)<br />****************************************************************Just sayin'noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-76837254447610943072011-12-23T16:49:57.685-05:002011-12-23T16:49:57.685-05:00I've said this before as an old timer, I remem...<i>I've said this before as an old timer, I remember the '71 Nats pitcher Dick Bosman lost 5 1-0 games because his offense sucked.</i><br /><br />Not that his offense didn't suck, but he lost <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=bosmadi01&t=p&year=1971" rel="nofollow">one game 1-0</a>. He lost 4 games total that year where the Senators were shut out.Soul Possession, PFB Sofahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08891662837668214475noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-66611672577333165912011-12-23T16:45:30.202-05:002011-12-23T16:45:30.202-05:00ehay2k said...
That means I will renew my ST shar...<i>ehay2k said...<br /> That means I will renew my ST shares this year. (Oh, and we are looking for one more to make it 9 shares - behind home dugout, Sec 129 lower level - if anyone wants to chat about it.) </i><br /><br />Can't come in your group for several reasons, but would be glad to buy a ticket when you have one to spare.NatsLadyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06814911056080758503noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-38899164084525222752011-12-23T16:45:00.768-05:002011-12-23T16:45:00.768-05:00Sheinin on getting Prince F'Bomb:
http://www....Sheinin on getting Prince F'Bomb:<br /><br />http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/nationals-journal/post/some-thoughts-on-prince-fielder/2011/12/23/gIQAT7R6DP_blog.html?wprss=nationals-journal<br /><br />The other Boswell, not the one from yesterday:<br /><br />http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/nationals/gio-gonzalez-trade-shows-nats-arent-going-to-wait-to-win/2011/12/23/gIQAr4orDP_print.htmlGonatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3442809928829881676.post-84617891984983440442011-12-23T16:43:45.971-05:002011-12-23T16:43:45.971-05:00222, he didn't appear in any games in 2006 for...222, he didn't appear in any games in 2006 for the Nationals, at least.Soul Possession, PFB Sofahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08891662837668214475noreply@blogger.com